China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "China ballistic missile launch by December 31?" at 13.0%. $2.2K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
–13%
PoliticsVol $2.2KTotal volume $2.2KLiquidity $2.3Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
13.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
