CO-01 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 55-60%" at 38.0% on "CO-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 55-60%
6.538%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $225Liquidity $1.9Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 55-60%
38.0%
6.5
Democrat 65-70%
31.0%
6.5
Democrat 0-35%
29.0%
4.5
Democrat 45-50%
26.5%
5.0
Democrat 70-75%
26.0%
3.5
Democrat 60-65%
26.0%
5.0
Democrat 50-55%
26.0%
1.0
Democrat 35-45%
24.0%
6.5
Democrat 75%+
23.0%
5.5
Republican Wins
5.85%
4.2

Probability over time

Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 0-35%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 70-75%
Democrat 60-65%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.