CO-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 50-55%" at 44.5% on "CO-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 12.5%p from yesterday. $110 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Democrat 50-55%
▲12.545%
PoliticsVol $110Total volume $14KLiquidity $134Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 50-55%
44.5%
▲12.5
Democrat 55-60%
20.1%
–
Democrat 45-50%
18.3%
▼2.3
Democrat 40-45%
6.65%
▲1.4
Democrat 60%+
5.00%
▼1.0
Democrat 35-40%
4.00%
–
Democrat 20-30%
0.60%
–
Democrat 0-20%
0.55%
–
Democrat 30-35%
0.25%
–
Republican Wins
0.15%
–

Probability over time

Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 60%+
Democrat 35-40%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.