CO-02 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 55-60%" at 33.0% on "CO-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 55-60%
2.033%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $15Liquidity $9.2Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 55-60%
33.0%
2.0
Democrat 40-45%
32.5%
3.0
Democrat 35-40%
32.5%
0.5
Democrat 30-35%
30.0%
3.0
Democrat 60%+
25.0%
1.0
Democrat 45-50%
25.0%
2.5
Democrat 0-20%
25.0%
1.0
Democrat 50-55%
24.5%
3.5
Democrat 20-30%
24.5%
0.5
Republican Wins
1.95%

Probability over time

Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 60%+
Democrat 45-50%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.