Connecticut Governor Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 15-20%" at 20.5% on "Connecticut Governor Election Margin of Victory". There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 15-20%
21%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $1.4KLiquidity $69Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 15-20%
20.5%
Democrat 20-25%
20.0%
Democrat 5-10%
18.0%
2.5
Democrat 10-15%
14.5%
Democrat 25-30%
13.9%
Democrat 30%+
5.00%
Democrat 0-5%
3.80%
Republican Wins
3.10%
0.9

Probability over time

Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 30%+
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.