Connecticut Governor Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 15-20%" at 30.5% on "Connecticut Governor Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 15-20%
▼2.031%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $11KLiquidity $104Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 15-20%
30.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 20-25%
24.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 10-15%
21.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 30%+
13.6%
▼0.9
Democrat 25-30%
12.8%
▲5.5
Republican Wins
8.55%
▲6.9
Democrat 5-10%
6.30%
▼0.9
Democrat 0-5%
0.50%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 30%+
Democrat 25-30%
Republican Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
