CT-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 29.0% on "CT-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 4.0%p from yesterday. $357 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▲4.029%
PoliticsVol $357Total volume $15KLiquidity $129Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
29.0%
▲4.0
Democrat 25-30%
28.9%
▼4.5
Democrat 30-35%
19.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 15-20%
16.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 35%+
4.70%
–
Democrat 5-10%
4.40%
▲0.9
Democrat 10-15%
3.80%
▼0.9
Republican Wins
0.50%
–
Democrat 0-5%
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 35%+
Democrat 5-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
