CT-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 5-10%" at 27.0% on "CT-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 5-10%
▼3.527%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $180Liquidity $1.8Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 5-10%
27.0%
▼3.5
Democrat 35%+
26.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 15-20%
26.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 10-15%
25.5%
▼5.0
Democrat 30-35%
24.5%
▼5.5
Democrat 25-30%
23.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 0-5%
23.5%
▼1.5
Democrat 20-25%
20.5%
▼2.0
Republican Wins
6.30%
▼14.3
Probability over time
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 35%+
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
