CT-03 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 30.0% on "CT-03 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
–30%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $51Liquidity $10Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
30.0%
–
Democrat 5-10%
26.0%
▼4.5
Democrat 35%+
25.0%
▼4.0
Democrat 0-5%
25.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 10-15%
24.5%
▼3.5
Democrat 20-25%
22.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 15-20%
19.0%
▼3.5
Democrat 25-30%
16.0%
▼4.5
Republican Wins
3.25%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 35%+
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 20-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
