CT-05 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Jahana Hayes (D)" at 94.8% on "CT-05 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Jahana Hayes (D)
–95%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $9.1KLiquidity $67Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Jahana Hayes (D)
94.8%
–
Chris Shea (R)
4.45%
▲0.6

Probability over time

Jahana Hayes (D)
Chris Shea (R)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.