CT-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 31.0% on "CT-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 4.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▼4.531%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $36Liquidity $1.3Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
31.0%
▼4.5
Democrat 30%+
30.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 0-5%
30.5%
–
Democrat 10-15%
27.0%
▼5.5
Democrat 25-30%
26.0%
▼6.5
Democrat 5-10%
26.0%
▼4.5
Democrat 15-20%
25.0%
▼6.5
Republican Wins
20.5%
▼9.0
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 30%+
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 5-10%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
