CT-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 33.5% on "CT-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.5%p from yesterday. $314 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▲6.534%
PoliticsVol $314Total volume $6.9KLiquidity $75Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
33.5%
▲6.5
Democrat 15-20%
24.5%
▲4.0
Democrat 10-15%
19.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 5-10%
13.9%
▲3.8
Democrat 25-30%
10.2%
▲3.8
Democrat 0-5%
5.50%
▲0.5
Republican Wins
3.90%
–
Democrat 30%+
3.45%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
