Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 16.0% on "Danielle Smith out as Premier of Alberta by...?". $38 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
–16%
PoliticsVol $38Total volume $38Liquidity $10Kin 5 months (Apr 1)
Current probability

Oct 22 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
16.0%
–
November 30
15.0%
–
March 31
13.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.