DE-AL House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 41.5% on "DE-AL House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $67 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▼0.542%
PoliticsVol $67Total volume $10KLiquidity $182Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
41.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 30-35%
28.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 20-25%
19.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 35-40%
5.75%
–
Democrat 40%+
3.35%
▼0.5
Democrat 15-20%
2.45%
–
Republican Wins
2.35%
–
Democrat 0-10%
2.20%
–
Democrat 10-15%
1.05%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 40%+
Democrat 15-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
