Delaware Senate Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 18.5% on "Delaware Senate Election Margin of Victory". There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
19%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $1.3KLiquidity $70Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
18.5%
Democrat 15-20%
18.0%
1.5
Democrat 20-25%
16.5%
Democrat 30-35%
15.5%
Democrat 35-40%
11.0%
0.5
Democrat 10-15%
7.75%
Democrat 40-45%
4.50%
Democrat 45%+
3.50%
Democrat 0-10%
2.85%
Republican Wins
0.90%

Probability over time

Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 10-15%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.