Delaware Senate Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 28.5% on "Delaware Senate Election Margin of Victory". There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
–28%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $7.9KLiquidity $97Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
28.5%
–
Democrat 30-35%
25.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 20-25%
21.5%
–
Democrat 35-40%
12.5%
▼2.5
Democrat 40-45%
9.75%
▲2.9
Democrat 10-15%
7.65%
▲2.9
Democrat 45%+
5.90%
▼0.8
Democrat 15-20%
4.70%
▼0.6
Democrat 0-10%
3.25%
▲2.1
Republican Wins
2.70%
▼0.5

Probability over time

Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 10-15%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.