Democratic Senate odds on October 16?

Polymarket traders put "58-60%" at 27.5% on "Democratic Senate odds on October 16?". $20 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 16.

Most likely right now
58-60%
–28%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $20Liquidity $612in 7 days (Oct 16)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
58-60%
27.5%
–
>66%
8.00%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.