Democratic Senate odds on October 23?

Polymarket traders put ">66%" at 29.5% on "Democratic Senate odds on October 23?". $680 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 23.

Most likely right now
>66%
–30%
PoliticsVol $680Total volume $680Liquidity $21Kin 8 days (Oct 23)
Current probability

Oct 16 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
>66%
29.5%
–
<58%
28.0%
–
60-62%
23.5%
–
64-66%
18.0%
–
62-64%
17.0%
–
58-60%
6.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.