El Salvador Presidential Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Nayib Bukele" at 96.4% on "El Salvador Presidential Election Winner". $2.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 1.

Most likely right now
Nayib Bukele
–96%
PoliticsVol $2.1KTotal volume $2.1KLiquidity $3.6Kin 5 months (Mar 1)
Current probability

Oct 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Nayib Bukele
96.4%
–
Alirio García Flamenco
2.55%
–
Mayteé Iraheta
1.05%
–
Rafael Aguirre
1.05%
–
Orlando del Cid
1.05%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.