Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?

Polymarket traders put "220-239" at 11.5% on "Elon Musk # tweets October 13 - October 20, 2026?". $32K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 26 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 20.

Most likely right now
220-239
–12%
PoliticsVol $32KTotal volume $31KLiquidity $175Kin 10 days (Oct 20)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
220-239
11.5%
–
240-259
11.5%
–
180-199
10.5%
–
200-219
10.5%
–
260-279
10.5%
–
280-299
7.50%
–
300-319
7.50%
–
320-339
5.85%
–
160-179
5.50%
–
340-359
4.10%
–
140-159
2.95%
–
360-379
2.85%
–
380-399
2.60%
–
400-419
1.55%
–
440-459
1.25%
–
420-439
1.20%
–
120-139
1.15%
–
500+
1.05%
–
460-479
0.75%
–
480-499
0.65%
–
100-119
0.60%
–
<20
0.50%
–
60-79
0.50%
–
80-99
0.45%
–
20-39
0.05%
–
40-59
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.