Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?

Polymarket traders put "240-259" at 14.5% on "Elon Musk # tweets October 27 - November 3, 2026?". $30K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 30 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
240-259
–14%
PoliticsVol $30KTotal volume $30KLiquidity $243Kin 10 days (Nov 3)
Current probability

Oct 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
240-259
14.5%
–
260-279
14.0%
–
280-299
12.5%
–
300-319
10.5%
–
220-239
9.00%
–
320-339
8.40%
–
200-219
6.50%
–
340-359
5.70%
–
180-199
4.00%
–
360-379
3.70%
–
380-399
2.20%
–
400-419
1.75%
–
160-179
1.20%
–
420-439
1.20%
–
440-459
1.20%
–
500-519
1.05%
–
460-479
0.75%
–
480-499
0.65%
–
100-119
0.45%
–
140-159
0.45%
–
580+
0.40%
–
520-539
0.35%
–
120-139
0.30%
–
540-559
0.30%
–
560-579
0.30%
–
80-99
0.15%
–
<20
0.05%
–
20-39
0.05%
–
40-59
0.05%
–
60-79
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.