Eritrea invades Ethiopia by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 12.5% on "Eritrea invades Ethiopia by...?". $45 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
December 31
–13%
PoliticsVol $45Total volume $124KLiquidity $11KComments 9in 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
12.5%
–
October 31
5.20%
▼1.1
Probability over time
December 31
October 31
2026-09-29 ~ 2026-11-15 · y-axis %
