Espírito Santo Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Pazolini 15-20%" at 26.0% on "Espírito Santo Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory". $1.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 26.

Most likely right now
Pazolini 15-20%
–26%
PoliticsVol $1.6KTotal volume $1.6KLiquidity $4.8Kin 18 days (Oct 26)
Current probability

Oct 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Pazolini 15-20%
26.0%
–
Pazolini 5-10%
25.5%
–
Pazolini <5%
24.0%
–
Pazolini 10-15%
18.0%
–
Pazolini 20%+
11.0%
–
Ferraço wins
10.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.