Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Lorenzo Pazolini" at 89.5% on "Espírito Santo Governor Election Winner ". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $383 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 5.

Most likely right now
Lorenzo Pazolini
▲1.590%
PoliticsVol $383Total volume $48KLiquidity $120KComments 1Closed (Oct 5)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Lorenzo Pazolini
89.5%
▲1.5
Ricardo Ferraço
12.0%
▼1.0
Sergio Vidigal
0.05%
–
Arnaldinho Borgo
0.05%
–
Euclério Sampaio
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Lorenzo Pazolini
Ricardo Ferraço
Sergio Vidigal
Arnaldinho Borgo
Euclério Sampaio
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.