EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2028" at 34.5% on "EU adopts Chinese telecom gear phase-out law by...?". $8.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2028
–35%
PoliticsVol $8.2KTotal volume $6.5KLiquidity $15Kin 2.1 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2028
34.5%
–
June 30, 2028
30.5%
–
December 31, 2027
20.0%
–
June 30, 2027
2.30%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.