FAA outage attributed to Iran?

Polymarket traders put "FAA outage attributed to Iran?" at 0.8%. Down 1.8%p from yesterday. $106K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
FAA outage attributed to Iran?
▼1.81%
PoliticsVol $106KTotal volume $168KLiquidity $78KComments 10in 16 days (Dec 1)
Current probability

Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
FAA outage attributed to Iran?
0.80%
▼1.8

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.