Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Celina 10-15%" at 39.5% on "Federal District Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory". $948 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 26.
Most likely right now
Celina 10-15%
–40%
PoliticsVol $948Total volume $948Liquidity $4.5Kin 19 days (Oct 26)
Current probability
Oct 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Celina 10-15%
39.5%
–
Celina 20-25%
33.0%
–
Celina 25%+
21.0%
–
Celina 15-20%
13.0%
–
Grass wins
11.0%
–
Celina <10%
8.00%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
