Federal District Governor Election Winner

Most likely right now
Celina Leão
8.067%
PoliticsVol $374Total volume $8.2KLiquidity $43Kin 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Celina Leão
66.5%
8.0
Arruda
16.2%
8.5
Cappelli
5.10%
3.7
Kiko Caputo
4.20%
3.7
Elisson
4.10%
2.6
Leandro Grass
3.25%
0.5
Paula Belmonte
2.45%
2.1
Professor Robson
2.45%
Expedito Mendonça
0.65%
Professora Samara Mineiro
0.55%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.