First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?

Polymarket traders put "First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?" at 98.0%. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?
–98%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $1.2KLiquidity $20Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?
98.0%
–

Probability over time

First Round Outright Winner in the LA-02 House Election?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.