First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?
Polymarket traders put "First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?" at 92.0%. Down 3.5%p from yesterday. $5 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?
▼3.592%
PoliticsVol $5Total volume $732Liquidity $11Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?
92.0%
▼3.5
Probability over time
First Round Outright Winner in the LA-04 House Election?
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
