FL-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 25-30%" at 26.5% on "FL-01 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 25-30%
–27%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $16KLiquidity $139Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 25-30%
26.5%
–
Republican 20-25%
25.5%
▲2.5
Republican 30-35%
13.2%
–
Republican 35-40%
8.20%
–
Republican 45%+
7.45%
▼1.1
Republican 0-5%
7.40%
▲2.9
Republican 15-20%
4.95%
▼1.8
Republican 40-45%
3.10%
–
Republican 5-15%
3.00%
–
Democrat Wins
0.50%
–
Probability over time
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 45%+
Republican 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
