FL-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 45%+" at 36.5% on "FL-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 11.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 45%+
▲11.537%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $227Liquidity $2.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 45%+
36.5%
▲11.5
Republican 40-45%
33.0%
▲9.5
Republican 5-15%
31.5%
▲9.0
Republican 30-35%
29.5%
▲3.0
Republican 25-30%
23.0%
▼4.0
Republican 0-5%
23.0%
▼1.0
Republican 15-20%
22.5%
▲3.5
Republican 35-40%
18.5%
▼5.0
Republican 20-25%
14.5%
▼4.5
Democrat Wins
6.00%
▲0.5
Probability over time
Republican 45%+
Republican 40-45%
Republican 5-15%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
