FL-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-5%" at 35.5% on "FL-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 15.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 0-5%
15.536%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 0-5%
35.5%
15.5
Republican 20-25%
34.5%
11.0
Republican 15-20%
30.0%
0.5
Republican 30%+
29.5%
Republican 25-30%
29.5%
0.5
Republican 5-10%
29.0%
0.5
Republican 10-15%
28.5%
1.0
Democrat Wins
22.5%
16.5

Probability over time

Republican 0-5%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 30%+
Republican 25-30%
Republican 5-10%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.