FL-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 26.0% on "FL-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $49 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▲0.526%
PoliticsVol $49Total volume $9.5KLiquidity $111Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
26.0%
▲0.5
Republican 10-15%
18.5%
▼7.0
Republican 20-25%
15.0%
▲1.5
Republican 5-10%
14.0%
–
Republican 30%+
4.90%
–
Republican 25-30%
4.70%
–
Republican 0-5%
4.50%
–
Democrat Wins
0.55%
–

Probability over time

Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 30%+
Republican 25-30%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.