FL-04 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Aaron Bean (R)" at 85.5% on "FL-04 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Aaron Bean (R)
–86%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $29KLiquidity $65Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Aaron Bean (R)
85.5%
–
LaShonda Holloway (D)
14.5%
–
Probability over time
Aaron Bean (R)
LaShonda Holloway (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
