FL-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 6-9%" at 22.9% on "FL-04 House Election Margin of Victory". $297 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 6-9%
–23%
PoliticsVol $297Total volume $12KLiquidity $100Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 6-9%
22.9%
–
Republican 9-12%
19.5%
▼4.0
Republican 12-15%
18.5%
▲4.0
Republican 3-6%
18.5%
▲5.0
Republican 15-18%
15.7%
▲10.3
Republican 0-3%
7.55%
–
Democrat 0-3%
4.70%
▼1.4
Democrat 3%+
3.50%
▼0.7
Republican 21%+
3.30%
▼1.5
Republican 18-21%
2.25%
–
Probability over time
Republican 6-9%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 12-15%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 15-18%
Republican 0-3%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
