FL-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 35.0% on "FL-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▲3.535%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
35.0%
▲3.5
Republican 5-10%
32.5%
▲6.5
Republican 0-5%
28.0%
▲1.5
Republican 20-25%
25.5%
▼6.5
Republican 15-20%
25.0%
▼6.5
Republican 25-30%
22.5%
▼10.0
Republican 30%+
17.5%
▼6.5
Democrat Wins
17.5%
▼9.5
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
