FL-07 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 9-12%" at 35.5% on "FL-07 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 8.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 9-12%
8.036%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 9-12%
35.5%
8.0
Republican 0-3%
30.0%
11.0
Republican 18%+
27.5%
5.5
Republican 12-15%
27.0%
1.5
Republican 6-9%
24.5%
2.0
Democrat 6%+
23.0%
3.5
Democrat 0-3%
20.5%
7.0
Republican 3-6%
20.0%
2.5
Democrat 3-6%
18.5%
2.0
Republican 15-18%
16.5%
9.5

Probability over time

Republican 9-12%
Republican 0-3%
Republican 18%+
Republican 12-15%
Republican 6-9%
Democrat 6%+
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.