FL-08 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-10%" at 28.0% on "FL-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $179 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
▼0.528%
PoliticsVol $179Total volume $17KLiquidity $126Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
28.0%
▼0.5
Republican 10-15%
24.5%
▼1.0
Republican 0-5%
16.0%
▼2.0
Republican 15-20%
9.55%
–
Republican 20-25%
7.30%
–
Democrat Wins
7.00%
–
Republican 25-30%
4.65%
–
Republican 30%+
0.55%
–

Probability over time

Republican 5-10%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Democrat Wins
02550751008/259/79/149/219/2810/510/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.