FL-11 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 6-9%" at 23.5% on "FL-11 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 6-9%
▲1.024%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $8.7KLiquidity $137Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 6-9%
23.5%
▲1.0
Republican 3-6%
16.5%
–
Republican 9-12%
15.5%
–
Republican 18-21%
11.8%
▼1.9
Republican 21%+
11.5%
▼1.0
Republican 12-15%
8.50%
–
Republican 0-3%
8.35%
▲1.1
Democrat 0-3%
7.90%
▲3.5
Democrat 3%+
4.35%
–
Republican 15-18%
2.75%
–
Probability over time
Republican 6-9%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 18-21%
Republican 21%+
Republican 12-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
