FL-15 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Laurel Lee (R)" at 92.4% on "FL-15 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Laurel Lee (R)
–92%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $34KLiquidity $52Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Laurel Lee (R)
92.4%
–
Robert People (D)
8.05%
–

Probability over time

Laurel Lee (R)
Robert People (D)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.