FL-17 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 26.5% on "FL-17 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. $1.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▼2.527%
PoliticsVol $1.0KTotal volume $13KLiquidity $106Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
26.5%
▼2.5
Republican 15-20%
24.0%
▼1.0
Republican 20-25%
22.0%
▼7.0
Republican 25-30%
9.50%
▲2.0
Republican 0-5%
4.50%
▼4.5
Republican 30%+
4.30%
▼3.0
Republican 5-10%
3.75%
▼3.4
Democrat Wins
1.05%
▼6.2

Probability over time

Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 30%+
02550751008/259/119/189/2510/210/910/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.