FL-18 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 34.5% on "FL-18 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▼2.535%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
34.5%
▼2.5
Republican 0-5%
34.5%
▼2.5
Republican 30%+
32.0%
▼2.5
Republican 15-20%
30.5%
▼5.5
Republican 20-25%
29.5%
▼7.5
Democrat Wins
29.5%
▼6.0
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 30%+
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Democrat Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
