FL-18 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 28.5% on "FL-18 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. $287 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▼3.028%
PoliticsVol $287Total volume $14KLiquidity $102Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
28.5%
▼3.0
Republican 5-10%
25.0%
▼0.5
Republican 15-20%
20.5%
▲2.0
Republican 25-30%
6.00%
▼1.0
Republican 20-25%
5.85%
–
Democrat Wins
5.45%
▲0.7
Republican 30%+
4.90%
▼2.5
Republican 0-5%
4.75%
–
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Democrat Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
