FL-19 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 36.5% on "FL-19 House Election Margin of Victory". $82 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
–37%
PoliticsVol $82Total volume $13KLiquidity $110Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
36.5%
–
Republican 15-20%
28.0%
▼1.5
Republican 10-15%
16.0%
–
Republican 25-30%
12.5%
–
Republican 35%+
8.45%
▲4.0
Republican 5-10%
6.60%
▲1.5
Democrat Wins
4.20%
▲0.9
Republican 30-35%
2.75%
–
Republican 0-5%
2.00%
▲0.5

Probability over time

Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 35%+
Republican 5-10%
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.