FL-19 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 30-35%" at 25.0% on "FL-19 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 30-35%
2.025%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $22Liquidity $2.2Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 30-35%
25.0%
2.0
Republican 25-30%
23.0%
Republican 20-25%
23.0%
0.5
Republican 5-10%
23.0%
0.5
Republican 15-20%
22.5%
5.5
Republican 35%+
19.0%
1.0
Republican 10-15%
18.0%
2.0
Republican 0-5%
17.0%
Democrat Wins
14.5%
1.5

Probability over time

Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 35%+
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.