FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35-40%" at 40.0% on "FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 7.0%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
▲7.040%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $226Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
40.0%
▲7.0
Democrat 50-55%
39.5%
▲8.5
Democrat 0-20%
37.5%
▲11.0
Democrat 45-50%
35.5%
▲7.5
Democrat 60%+
35.0%
▲10.0
Democrat 55-60%
35.0%
▲8.5
Democrat 30-35%
27.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 20-30%
27.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 40-45%
25.5%
▼3.0
Republican Wins
5.95%
▲3.5
Probability over time
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 0-20%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 60%+
Democrat 55-60%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
