FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 45-50%" at 34.0% on "FL-20 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 7.5%p from yesterday. $532 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 45-50%
▲7.534%
PoliticsVol $532Total volume $23KLiquidity $84Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 45-50%
34.0%
▲7.5
Democrat 40-45%
25.7%
▲2.1
Democrat 50-55%
18.5%
▲1.0
Democrat 35-40%
13.9%
▲4.5
Democrat 55-60%
12.7%
▼1.4
Democrat 60%+
5.50%
▼0.9
Democrat 20-30%
3.00%
–
Democrat 30-35%
2.95%
–
Democrat 0-20%
1.65%
–
Republican Wins
0.50%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 60%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
