FL-21 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 26.5% on "FL-21 House Election Margin of Victory". $77 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
–27%
PoliticsVol $77Total volume $8.8KLiquidity $68Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
26.5%
–
Republican 15-20%
26.0%
▲1.5
Republican 5-10%
16.4%
▼7.8
Republican 20-25%
14.0%
–
Republican 0-5%
6.55%
–
Democrat Wins
5.85%
▼1.4
Republican 25-30%
5.00%
–
Republican 30%+
2.05%
▼0.6
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 0-5%
Democrat Wins
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
