FL-21 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-10%" at 30.5% on "FL-21 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
▲2.031%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
30.5%
▲2.0
Republican 30%+
27.5%
▼2.5
Republican 0-5%
27.0%
▼3.0
Republican 20-25%
26.5%
▼3.5
Republican 15-20%
26.5%
▼1.5
Republican 25-30%
21.0%
▼2.5
Republican 10-15%
20.5%
▲0.5
Democrat Wins
18.5%
▼1.0
Probability over time
Republican 5-10%
Republican 30%+
Republican 0-5%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
