FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 41.0% on "FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▼0.541%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $5.9KLiquidity $85Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
41.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 20-25%
22.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 30-35%
21.2%
▼3.7
Democrat 0-5%
12.2%
▲8.9
Democrat 10-15%
10.9%
▲5.5
Democrat 15-20%
9.50%
▲0.7
Democrat 35%+
6.50%
▲2.5
Democrat 5-10%
2.95%
▼0.5
Republican Wins
0.15%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 15-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
