FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 32.5% on "FL-23 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
▼3.033%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $16Liquidity $1.6Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
32.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 15-20%
28.5%
▼9.0
Democrat 25-30%
28.0%
▼9.5
Democrat 35%+
26.5%
▼10.5
Democrat 10-15%
26.5%
▼10.5
Democrat 30-35%
25.5%
▼11.5
Democrat 5-10%
25.5%
▼10.0
Democrat 0-5%
24.0%
▼10.5
Republican Wins
7.00%
▼26.5
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 35%+
Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 30-35%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
