FL-27 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-18%" at 21.8% on "FL-27 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 14.8%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-18%
▲14.822%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $14KLiquidity $94Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-18%
21.8%
▲14.8
Republican 6-9%
21.0%
▲7.5
Republican 0-3%
17.9%
▼6.5
Republican 18%+
17.8%
▲15.0
Democrat 0-3%
17.0%
–
Republican 3-6%
16.0%
▼6.0
Democrat 6%+
8.90%
▲1.9
Democrat 3-6%
4.00%
▼2.5
Republican 12-15%
3.95%
–
Republican 9-12%
2.55%
▼1.7
Probability over time
Republican 15-18%
Republican 6-9%
Republican 0-3%
Republican 18%+
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 3-6%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
