FL-28 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 30%+" at 30.5% on "FL-28 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 30%+
▼1.531%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 30%+
30.5%
▼1.5
Republican 15-20%
30.5%
▼0.5
Republican 10-15%
30.5%
▼1.5
Republican 5-10%
30.0%
▼2.0
Democrat Wins
24.5%
▼0.5
Republican 25-30%
24.0%
▼1.0
Republican 0-5%
23.5%
▼2.0
Republican 20-25%
23.0%
▼1.5
Probability over time
Republican 30%+
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Democrat Wins
Republican 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
