FL-28 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 25.5% on "FL-28 House Election Margin of Victory". $1.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
–26%
PoliticsVol $1.1KTotal volume $5.6KLiquidity $80Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
25.5%
–
Republican 15-20%
18.0%
▲4.0
Republican 5-10%
17.0%
▼0.5
Republican 25-30%
12.0%
–
Republican 20-25%
10.5%
▼21.5
Democrat Wins
4.00%
▼3.5
Republican 0-5%
2.75%
▲1.8
Republican 30%+
1.20%
–

Probability over time

Republican 10-15%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Democrat Wins
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.