French Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place
Polymarket traders put "Sébastien Lecornu" at 46.1% on "French Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place". $220 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 16 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 18.
Most likely right now
Sébastien Lecornu
–46%
PoliticsVol $220Total volume $220Liquidity $3.5Kin 5 months (Apr 18)
Current probability
Nov 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Sébastien Lecornu
46.1%
–
Dominique de Villepin
46.0%
–
François Ruffin
45.8%
–
Marine Le Pen
45.4%
–
Éric Zemmour
45.4%
–
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
39.0%
–
Raphaël Glucksmann
38.0%
–
Édouard Philippe
37.5%
–
David Lisnard
37.5%
–
François Hollande
26.0%
–
Christine Lagarde
26.0%
–
Gabriel Attal
17.0%
–
Bruno Retailleau
6.00%
–
Sarah Knafo
5.45%
–
Marine Tondelier
3.15%
–
Jordan Bardella
2.60%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
