French Presidential Election First Round: Mélenchon hits __% in any poll?
Polymarket traders put "20%" at 57.5% on "French Presidential Election First Round: Mélenchon hits __% in any poll?". $115 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 17.
Most likely right now
20%
–57%
PoliticsVol $115Total volume $105Liquidity $105in 5 months (Apr 17)
Current probability
Nov 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
20%
57.5%
–
25%
50.5%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
