French Presidential Election First Round: Le Pen hits __% in any poll?

Polymarket traders put "French Presidential Election First Round: Le Pen hits __% in any poll?" at 61.0%. $20 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Apr 17.

Most likely right now
38%
–61%
PoliticsVol $20Total volume $20Liquidity $239in 5 months (Apr 17)
Current probability

Nov 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
38%
61.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.