French Presidential Election First Round: # of Candidates on Ballot?

Polymarket traders put "8" at 32.5% on "French Presidential Election First Round: # of Candidates on Ballot?". Down 7.0%p from yesterday. $609 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 18.

Most likely right now
8
▼7.033%
PoliticsVol $609Total volume $609Liquidity $3.4Kin 5 months (Apr 18)
Current probability

Nov 8 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
8
32.5%
▼7.0
9
30.0%
▼8.5
10
27.5%
▼15.0
13 or more
27.5%
–
11
26.5%
▼12.5
12
19.5%
▼22.0
7
12.5%
▼12.0
6 or fewer
7.50%
▼17.0

Probability over time

8
9
10
13 or more
11
12
025507510011/711/8
2026-11-07 ~ 2026-11-08 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.