French Senate Election: 2nd Most Seats?

Polymarket traders put "Union Centriste" at 89.8% on "French Senate Election: 2nd Most Seats?". Up 8.0%p from yesterday. $4 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Sep 28.

Most likely right now
Union Centriste
▲8.090%
PoliticsVol $4Total volume $19KLiquidity $24KClosed (Sep 28)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Union Centriste
89.8%
▲8.0
SER
6.00%
–
Les Républicains
0.50%
–

Probability over time

Union Centriste
SER
Les Républicains
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.