GA-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 10-15%" at 28.5% on "GA-02 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". Down 7.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 10-15%
7.028%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $12Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 10-15%
28.5%
7.0
Democrat 5-10%
28.5%
11.0
Democrat 15-20%
28.0%
6.0
Democrat 25-30%
27.5%
6.5
Democrat 20-25%
27.0%
8.0
Democrat 0-5%
23.0%
12.5
Democrat 30%+
22.0%
12.5
Republican Wins
21.0%
5.5

Probability over time

Democrat 10-15%
Democrat 5-10%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 0-5%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.