GA-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)

Polymarket traders put "Republican 0-10%" at 29.5% on "GA-03 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". Down 2.0%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 0-10%
2.030%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $201Liquidity $1.9Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 0-10%
29.5%
2.0
Republican 30-35%
28.5%
4.0
Republican 25-30%
26.5%
2.0
Republican 35-40%
26.0%
Republican 20-25%
26.0%
2.5
Republican 15-20%
26.0%
6.0
Republican 40%+
22.0%
4.0
Republican 10-15%
22.0%
2.0
Democrat Wins
3.65%

Probability over time

Republican 0-10%
Republican 30-35%
Republican 25-30%
Republican 35-40%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.