GA-05 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 75-80%" at 32.5% on "GA-05 House Election Margin of Victory (First Round)". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 75-80%
▼0.533%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $253Liquidity $1.4Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 75-80%
32.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 70-75%
32.5%
▼3.0
Democrat 65-70%
30.5%
▲2.0
Democrat 45-55%
29.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 80-85%
24.5%
▼3.5
Democrat 0-45%
22.5%
▼4.5
Democrat 60-65%
19.0%
–
Democrat 85%+
11.0%
▼0.5
Republican Wins
5.85%
▲0.9
Probability over time
Democrat 75-80%
Democrat 70-75%
Democrat 65-70%
Democrat 45-55%
Democrat 80-85%
Democrat 0-45%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
